2024 North Macedonian parliamentary election

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2024 North Macedonian parliamentary election
North Macedonia
← 2020 8 May 2024 2028 →

All 120 seats in the Assembly
61 seats needed for a majority
Turnout55.44% (Increase 3.42pp)
Party Leader % Seats +/–
Your Macedonia Hristijan Mickoski 44.54 58 +14
For a European Future Dimitar Kovačevski 15.80 18 −28
European Front Ali Ahmeti 14.05 19 +3
VLEN Coalition Bilall Kasami 10.94 13 +1
Levica Dimitar Apasiev 7.01 6 +4
ZNAM Maksim Dimitrievski 5.75 6 New
This lists parties that won seats. See the complete results below.
Prime Minister before Prime Minister after
Talat Xhaferi
BDI
TBD

Parliamentary elections were held in North Macedonia on 8 May 2024. The second round of the 2024 presidential election were held on the same day.[1] The slow pace of EU integration and corruption were the main issues of this election.[2]

Electoral system[edit]

North Macedonia's six constituencies

Of the 123 seats in the Assembly of the Republic (Sobranie), 120 are elected from six 20-seat constituencies in North Macedonia using closed list proportional representation, with seats allocated using the d'Hondt method. The remaining three seats are elected by Macedonians living abroad,[3] but are only filled if the number of votes exceeds that of the elected candidate with the fewest votes in North Macedonia in the previous election. If a list crosses this threshold, it wins one seat; to win two seats, a list needs to win twice the number of votes, and to win three seats the threshold is three times the number of votes. These seats were not filled in the 2016 elections due to insufficient turnout.[4]

For this election, more than 1,700 candidates were running for the Sobranie.[5]

Campaign[edit]

Among significant issues during the election was corruption. The opposition VMRO-DPMNE accused the ruling coalition of presiding over a "pandemic" of corruption in the country, while the Social Democratic Union of Macedonia, a member of the coalition, supported the confiscation of illegally acquired property from corrupt officials. The ruling government supported revising the constitution to include recognition of a Bulgarian minority in North Macedonia, a condition set by Bulgaria to allow the country's accession to the European Union. The VMRO-DPMNE called the acceptance of such conditions a "capitulation" to Bulgaria. It has also expressed interest in forming a coalition government with the VLEN coalition comprising of ethnic Albanian parties[5] but has ruled out entering into one with the Democratic Union for Integration, which is part of the ruling coalition and which it had called "corrupt".[6] The VMRO-DPMNE also pledged to create tens of thousands of jobs amid the country's sluggish economic situation, mass emigration and rising inflation.[7]

Opinion polls[edit]

Local regression of the main political parties before the 2024 election.
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
For a European
Future
VLEN European
Front
Your Macedonia Levica ZNAM Others Lead
SDSM LDP/DOM Besa LD A ASh[a] BDI PDSh VMRO-DPMNE
2024 election 8 May 2024 15.36 10.72 13.78 43.23 6.82 5.57 ? 27.87
2024 presidential election 24 Apr 2024 20.5 9.5 13.7 41.2 4.7 9.5 0.9 [b] 20.7
CRPC 20 Apr 2024 1250 25.6 14.5 9.5 38 7.2 5.0 0.2 11.2
МКД.мк 8–13 Apr 2024 1200 22.8 9.9 12.7 41.2 6.5 6.1 0.8 18.4
CRPC 8–13 Apr 2024 1210 26.8 12.7 11.3 37.5 6.4 5.3 10.7
МКД.мк 15–24 Mar 2024 1200 16.0 11.5 1.6 13.0 40.8 7.9 8.2 0.7 24.8
CRPC 4–7 Mar 2024 1085 24.6 13.6 11.6 39.4 5.5 5.3 14.8
IPIS 20 Feb 2024 1212 21.8 8.6 4.1 11.5 38.6 6.0 5.0 2.4 18.8
IPDV 5–9 Nov 2023 1050 23.0 4.4 3.3 1.6 8.2 9.7 35.6 5.9 8.2 12.6
IPIS 29 Oct 2023 1055 21.8 4.4 1.9 3.5 3.9 10.8 36.2 6.8 5.6 2.1 17.4
IPIS 23–26 May 2023 1,112 21.6 4.4 5 12.4 38.2 12.3 5.7 0.8 16.6
IRI 8 Apr4 May 2023 1,204 17 7 2 8 14 32 11 7[c] 15
NDI 13–14 Apr 2023 1,003 23.6 6.6 6.3 11.4 39.6 10.3 3.1 2 16
IPIS Mar 2023 1,114 27.1 8.5 4.9 27.1[d] 39.2 10.1 9.2 11.1
IDSCS 22 Feb9 Mar 2023 1,002 24 2 7 18 38 9 14
МКД.мк 6–16 Feb 2023 1,200 22.3 0.2 4.1 6.7 14.7 39.2 8.1 3.4 16.9
IRI 19 Dec 2022 1,200 16.3 7.0 7.8 13.3 33.3 12.3 8.8 17
МКД.мк 7–13 Nov 2022 1,200 20.3 0.9 7.3 3.5 3.9 13.6 0.7 40.9 8.9 1.1 20.6
IPIS 4–6 May 2022 1,111 30.1 2.8 1.9 7.1 13.4 39.4 5.4 9.3
IPIS 19–22 Oct 2021 1,102 28.9 2.8 2.6 8.0 11.0 37.7 6.6 8.8
2021 Skopje election 17 Oct 2021 24.04 4.20 1.00 5.17 11.91 35.89 9.19 4.17[e] 11.9
Kantar TNS Brima 27 Aug9 Sep 2021 1,201 30.8 7.4 9.5 11.4 1.7 27.6 7.4 3.2
Kantar TNS Brima 28 May16 Jun 2021 1,194 33.0 6.8 10.3 11.0 2.8 28.5 7.5 4.5
Kantar TNS Brima 4–6 Apr 2021 1,222 27.9 6.6 8.2 11.5 1.6 27.9 9.8 Tie
IPIS 1–4 Mar 2021 1,109 31.9 1.7 8.9 10.4 34.7 6.6 2.8
M-Prospect 16–24 Dec 2020 1,000 31.7 4.1 0.9 7.8 11.4 2.4 30.8 10.6 0.3[f] 0.9
2020 parliamentary election 15 Jul 2020 35.89 8.95 11.48 1.53 34.57 4.10 3.49 1.3

Hypothetical polls[edit]

Nikola Gruevski forms a new party[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
SDSM LDP/DOM Besa PDSh A ASh VMRO-DPMNE BDI Levica ZNAM Gruevski Others Lead
Stratum R&D 1–6 Oct 2023 1,112 27.5 7.3 4.7 17.6 10.8 9.1 3.1 16.0 3.8 9.9

Results[edit]

The election resulted in a landslide victory for the national conservative VMRO-DPMNE and its Your Macedonia coalition, winning 58 seats in the Sobranie, just three shy of an outright majority. Their main rivals, the incumbent pro-European SDSM and its For a European Future coalition, ended up in distant third place, winning 18 seats, their worst ever result. All other parties and coalitions that won seats include: the European Front coalition with 19 seats and the VLEN Coalition with 13 seats (both representing national minorities), the left-wing nationalist The Left with six seats, as well as the left-wing populist For Our Macedonia Movement (ZNAM) with six seats.[8] Turnout was around 55%.[citation needed]

PartyVotes%Seats+/–
Your Macedonia[g]436,03644.5458+14
For a European Future[h]154,68715.8018–28
European Front[i]137,56114.0519+3
VLEN Coalition[j]107,08110.9413+1
The Left68,6637.016+4
For Our Macedonia56,2885.756New
Brave for Macedonia (GROM)[k]4,5220.460–1
New Alternative [mk]3,5160.3600
Abaja2,9090.300New
Your Party1,7940.1800
Unique Macedonia [mk]1,6880.170New
Homeland Macedonia [mk]1,0990.110New
Macedonian Era Third – Sovereignists9680.100New
Democrats [mk]9130.0900
Right5350.050New
MORO–Labour Party [mk]4520.0500
European Civic Movement2410.020New
Total978,953100.001200
Valid votes978,95397.27
Invalid/blank votes27,4742.73
Total votes1,006,427100.00
Registered voters/turnout1,815,35055.44
Source: SEC

Aftermath[edit]

Social Democrat leader Dimitar Kovačevski conceded defeat and announced that he would resign as party leader once a successor had been elected. VMRO-DPMNE leader Hristijan Mickoski said that “the people have taught the government its most important lesson and saved their country" and pledged to hold into account “every last person who committed a crime and committed corruption".[9]

Notes[edit]

  1. ^ In early 2024 two factions emerged within ASh. A faction led by incumbent leader Arben Taravari intended to join VLEN and he later became the coalition's presidential candidate, while a faction led by former leader Ziadin Sela eventually joined the European Front coalition. Both wings of the party held conferences and elected their respective leader as party chairman. The Macedonian electoral commission lists ASh as a member of VLEN, while a court decision ruled that Sela is the official party leader. The decision is being appealed.
  2. ^ Bravely for Macedonia
  3. ^ DPTM 2%
  4. ^ BDI and SDSM together
  5. ^ Green Humane City
  6. ^ Integra – Macedonian Conservative Party
  7. ^ Consists of VMRO-DPMNE, SPM, DPSM, DS, PODEM, ROM, Party of Vlachs from Macedonia, VOICE for Macedonia, NLP, SDU, DPR, RZPRM, OPER, Dignity, TMRO, MAAK, United for Macedonia and Macedonian Concept
  8. ^ Consists of: SDSM, LDP, NSDP, VMRO-NP, PDT, DOM, POPGM, SSM, DNET, SNSM, BNP, DSR, DSVM, SRM, Party of Democratic Action of Macedonia, Desnica, PDPR and POEN
  9. ^ Consists of BDI, Alliance for Albanians (Sela's - led), PDSH, Democratic European Party, People's Movement, DPT, Movement of Turks for Justice and Democracy, Union of Roma in Macedonia and Bosniak Democratic Union
  10. ^ Consists of Democratic Movement, Alternativa, Alliance for Albanians (Taravari's - led) the Besa Movement and others
  11. ^ Consists of: Party for the Full Emancipation of the Roma of Macedonia, Integra-Macedonian Conservative Party

References[edit]

  1. ^ "Parliamentary elections in North Macedonia/ The date when they will be held is revealed". CNA. 4 December 2023. Archived from the original on 9 January 2024. Retrieved 9 January 2024.
  2. ^ "Archived copy". Archived from the original on 8 May 2024. Retrieved 8 May 2024.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  3. ^ Electoral system Archived 4 March 2016 at the Wayback Machine IPU
  4. ^ Early Parliamentary Elections 11 December 2016 Archived 23 February 2022 at the Wayback Machine OSCE
  5. ^ a b "North Macedonia holds presidential and parliamentary elections Wednesday". Associated Press. 8 May 2024. Archived from the original on 8 May 2024. Retrieved 8 May 2024.
  6. ^ "North Macedonia: Frustrated voters set to punish government". DW. 8 May 2024. Archived from the original on 7 May 2024. Retrieved 8 May 2024.
  7. ^ "N. Macedonia's nationalist opposition sweeps elections, setting rocky path for EU accession". France 24. 9 May 2024. Archived from the original on 9 May 2024. Retrieved 8 May 2024.
  8. ^ "Претседателски и парламентарни избори 2024 – 08.05.2024". Државна Изборна Комисија (in Macedonian). 8 May 2024.
  9. ^ "North Macedonia elects first woman president as center-left incumbents suffer historic losses". Associated Press. 9 May 2024. Archived from the original on 9 May 2024. Retrieved 9 May 2024.